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CC 2016-05-10_11a Update_Status of Water Supply and Demand MEMORANDUM TO: CITY COUNCIL FROM: GEOFF ENGLISH, PUBLIC WORKS DIRECTOR DEBBIE MALICOAT, ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES DIRECTOR TERESA MCCLISH, COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR SHANE TAYLOR, UTILITIES MANAGER RYAN CORNELL, ACCOUNTING MANAGER KELLY HEFFERON, ASSOCIATE PLANNER SUBJECT: CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY AND DEMAND STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS DATE: MAY 10, 2016 RECOMMENDATION: It is recommended the City Council: 1. Receive and file the updated water supply and demand report; 2. Approve funding plan for water conservation programming as proposed; 3. Receive and file report on status of baseline adjustment form requests; 4. Direct staff to use existing measures in the City’s Mandatory Water Use Restrictions Ordinance to direct mandatory plumbing retrofit for commercial properties; and 5. Provide direction to staff regarding options for the potential purchase and use of State Water. IMPACT ON FINANCIAL AND PERSONNEL RESOURCES: Staff continues to spend a substantial amount of staff resources enforcing the City’s emergency water shortage restrictions and regulations, including processing baseline adjustment requests and water use penalties. Staff time dedicated to the City’s water conservation incentive programs has decreased with the elimination of several programs and exhaustion of funds. Currently, the only active incentive programs include the Plumbing Retrofit Program and the Cash for Grass Rebate Program, although funding for the latter is almost depleted. The budget and expenditures for all programs funded by the Water Neutralization Fund are provided on the following page, which includes Council-approved adjustments on July 28, 2015 and administrative reclassifications. In addition, due to projected decreases in available funding, further reductions in conservation program allocation for the FY 2016-17 is proposed as reflected on the following page. Item 11.a. - Page 1 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 2 Program FY 2015-16 Budget Balance Remaining Proposed FY 2016-17 Budget Turf Removal Program $ 321,000 $ 15,295 $ 0- Washing Machine Rebates 8,000 - 0- Smart Irrigation Controller Program 2,000 1,391 0- Landscape Irrigation Retrofit 1,000 1,000 0- Plumbing Retrofit Program 78,550 25,238 40,000 Irrigation Contract 15,000 - - City Landscape Irrigation 35,000 - 19,000 Public Education Campaign 31,750 9,706 0 School Education Program 5,500 5,500 5,500 Water Conservation Workshops 3,000 2,215 0 GardenSoft Website License 500 - 500 Total: $ 501,300 $ 60,345 $ 65,000 BACKGROUND: Overview of City Council Actions to Address Drought Conditions The City has implemented a comprehensive approach to meeting projected water demand and water conservation goals. In May 2003, the City Council adopted a Water Conservation Program. Phase I of the program began in April 2004, which focused on retrofitting existing residential plumbing with low flow fixtures. In 2008, the City Council appropriated $50,000 from the Water Neutralization Fund to initiate water conservation rebate programs for turf removal, high efficiency washing machines and smart irrigation controllers. During the June 10, 2014 City Council meeting, staff updated comprehensive strategies to address the City's long-term water supply needs. The primary objectives of the recommendations were to address long-term projected water demand through increased water conservation measures, to protect existing water supply by pursuing initial studies for a project that will use recycled water to prevent seawater intrusion, and to coordinate with neighboring jurisdictions to manage the overall water supply in the most effective manner possible. It was also emphasized that the water supply recommendations were designed to address future projected demand under normal weather and supply conditions and any project aimed at preventing seawater intrusion could take up to 10 years to implement. Therefore, an extended drought would likely cause water supply challenges for the City that could not be addressed by water conservation measures alone. As a result, staff was directed to establish a Water Shortage Emergency Plan. Item 11.a. - Page 2 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 3 On August 26, 2014, the City Council directed staff to prepare a contingency Water Emergency Ordinance that was adopted on February 24, 2015. Subsequently, on April 1, 2015 the Governor issued the fourth in a series of Executive Orders on actions necessary to address California's severe drought conditions, which directed the State Water Board to implement mandatory water reductions in urban areas to reduce potable urban water usage by twenty-five percent (25%) statewide. On May 5, 2015, the State Water Board adopted an emergency conservation regulation in accordance with the Governor's directive which mandates that the City of Arroyo Grande reduce its water use by twenty-eight (28%) percent for each month as compared to the same month in 2013. On May 26, 2015, the City Council declared a Stage 1 Water Shortage Emergency and implemented water restrictions and regulations to residential and irrigation water services. On July 28, 2015, the City Council appropriated $131,000 from the Water Neutralization Fund for the Cash for Grass Program for FY 2015-16 given the popularity and success of the program, and eliminated funding for other water conservation incentive programs: On September 22, 2015, the City Council considered an amendment to the consultant services agreement with Verdin Marketing with a reduced scope of work for the Water Conservation Public Education Program. Council action was to reallocate the $30,000 funding intended for the public education and marketing to the Cash for Grass Program. On October 27, 2015, Council considered several alternatives to address the drought conditions, including a Stage 2 Water Shortage Emergency and a building moratorium. No formal action was taken and the report was received and filed. On November 10, 2015, the City Council adopted Resolution 4696 amending Exhibit A of Resolution 4659 relating to the mandatory penalties for failing to meet declared Stage 1 water shortage emergency water use requirements. The revised Exhibit A deleted the provision that subjects customers whose bi-monthly use is ten (10) units or less to penalties if their use increases from their assigned baseline amount. On January 12, 2016, the City Council adopted by reference the State Model Water Efficient Landscape Ordinance, which will save water for new developments in the form of irrigation efficiencies and planting requirements. Item 11.a. - Page 3 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 4 ANALYSIS OF ISSUES: A. WATER SUPPLY AND DEMAND REPORT Table 1 below shows the City’s current water supply portfolio and the amount of water used from each respective supply in calendar year 2015. Table 1. Current and Projected Water Supply – Acre Feet per Year (AFY) Water Supply Sources: 2015 Entitlement 2015 Actual Use Groundwater – Santa Maria Groundwater Basin 1,323 43 Groundwater – Pismo Formation 200 44 County of San Luis Obispo Lopez Reservoir Project 2,290 2152 TOTAL 3,813 2,239 Due in part to aggressive water conservation measures previously intended to attain the City’s 2020 water use goal and also the mandatory Council-adopted Emergency Water Restrictions, water consumption for the City of Arroyo Grande has dropped significantly when compared to the baseline year of 2013. Overall water consumption dropped approximately 35% when compared to the baseline year. Continued emphasis on water conservation will be necessary as the City’s water supply continues to be negatively impacted by the on-going drought conditions. Below are summaries of the conditions of our primary water supplies. Lopez Reservoir Supply As of March 31, 2016, the Lopez reservoir storage level was 14,630 Acre Feet (AF), 29.7% of the total reservoir capacity (Attachment 1). The current storage level is approximately 5,000 AF lower than the reservoir level on March 31, 2015, when the reservoir was at 19,840 AF or 40.7% of capacity. The past winter’s rainfall was below average and much of the rainfall received did not generate stormwater run-off due to the dry ground conditions. The Lopez Reservoir is currently being operated under the Low Reservoir Response Plan (LRRP). Under the LRRP, municipal deliveries have been reduced by 10% because the reservoir is under the 15,000 AF trigger as prescribed in the LRRP. On May 2, 2016, the Zone 3 Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) considered a proposal to recommend a proactive initiation of an additional 10% reduction in municipal deliveries due to the fact that the next automatic LRRP reduction trigger, 10,000 AF, is Item 11.a. - Page 4 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 5 projected to be reached in late fall of 2016 unless alternative water supply strategies are developed to extend the current Lopez supply. Table 2 below shows the automatic water use reductions outlined in the LRRP. Table 2. Lopez Reservoir Automatic Water Use Reductions Amount of Water In Storage (AF) Municipal Diversion Reduction Total Municipal Diversion (AFY) 20,000 0% 4,530 15,000 10% 4,077 10,000 20% 3,624 5,000 35% 2,941 4,000 100% 0 Additionally, the LRRP allows participating agencies to “store” water not used from the previous year’s entitlement. This past water year, the City did not use 91 AF of the 2015/16 entitlement as detailed on the Lopez Water Supplies under the LRRP for 2016/2017. (Attachment 2) This was added to the previously stored 845 AF in the Lopez Reservoir, increasing the total Lopez supply to 2,942 AF, which is sufficient to meet customer demand in water year 2016/17. The following graph illustrates Lopez Reservoir storage projections. Groundwater Supply Item 11.a. - Page 5 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 6 A significant portion of the groundwater aquifer under the City is within the boundaries of the Northern Cities Management Area (NCMA) of the Santa Maria Groundwater Basin (SMGWB). Beginning in the fall of 2013, the NCMA groundwater monitoring program identified monitoring well depths below sea level. In response, the NCMA Technical Group, which includes representatives of the overlying municipal water purveyors, implemented a strategy to reduce groundwater pumping in the NCMA portion of the SMGWB, and to shift to the greatest extent possible, to utilization of surface water. Under this strategy the City used only 3.2% of our SMGW allotment in 2015 as show in the table below. City of Arroyo Grande Groundwater pumping from Santa Maria Groundwater Basin- 2015 The water supply strategy to limit ground water pumping and to maximize surface water, (Lopez Reservoir and State Water) was intended to help prevent sea water intrusion into the aquifer. This regional strategy was employed by the all of the NCMA municipal water purveyors for most of 2014 and 2015. Despite below-average rainfall, the 2015/16 winter rainfall did have a positive impact on groundwater levels. Recent well level measurements in the NCMA have shown an increase in groundwater elevations, in part due to reduced pumping and from the minor improvement in rainfall this past winter. Compared to one year ago (April 2015), groundwater levels in all wells are currently higher, up an average of more than 2.5 feet from one year ago. This rise will allow an increase in groundwater pumping and a corresponding decrease in the City’s use of Lopez Reservoir supplies. This shift in water use strategy will help extend the City’s Lopez supplies. The City, through the NCMA Technical Group, will continue with vigilant groundwater level monitoring efforts and will be prepared to reduce groundwater pumping if necessary. Item 11.a. - Page 6 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 7 Projected Two-year Water supply “Look-Ahead” It is projected that sufficient water supply exists for anticipated customer demand for the next two (2) years as shown in Table 3 below. Table 3. Current and Projected Water Supply – Acre Feet per Year (AFY) Water Supply Sources 2015 Entitlement 2015 Actual Use 2016 Projected Use 2017 Projected Use Groundwater – Santa Maria Groundwater Basin 1,323 43 350 320 Groundwater- Pismo Formation* 200 44 120 150 County of San Luis Obispo Lopez Reservoir Project 2,290 2,152 1,830** 1,830** TOTAL 3,813 2,239 2,300 2,300 * - Estimate of available capacity **- Based on anticipated 20% reduction to municipal deliveries It is recommended that each year in April or May, this two-year water supply projection should be prepared so that alternate water supply arrangements can be made if supply is projected to be less than demand. As indicated above, the City’s water supply is sufficient for the next two (2) calendar years, and temporary supplemental supply is not needed at this time. Options for temporary water supplies, should they be needed in 2018, are being explored and will be further discussed in this report. Water Use Trends – Consumption Mandatory water use restrictions, along with Emergency water use restrictions previously enacted by the City Council declaration of a Stage 1 Water Shortage Emergency, have contributed to a substantial reduction in water use demand by Arroyo Grande customers. Water use has consistently been within the 28% reduction requirement imposed by the State Water Resources Control Board for the City (shown as Supplier 2015-16) as shown in Table 4 below. Item 11.a. - Page 7 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 8 During the last drought (2007-2010), water use went down to 156 gallons per person per day (gpd) in 2010 and then quickly went up the following year in 2011 to 170 gpd, following heavier than normal rainfall. Average water consumption by Arroyo Grande water customers in 2015 was 117 gpd. Item 11.a. - Page 8 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 9 Total projected annual water demand for 2016 and 2017 is based on the ability to maintain this per capita use. Based on staff evaluation of consumption data for January through March 2016, the per capita gallons per day consumption is currently on track to be lower than the 2015 average. No additional water use restrictions are recommended at this time. Supplemental Water Supply Options As previously presented to Council, staff continues to pursue cooperative efforts on regionally-focused, long-term supplemental water supply options. Given the City’s current water condition and the unpredictability of future supplies, the Council has previously directed staff to pursue drought-resistant water supplies to be included in the City’s water supply portfolio. Below is a summary of the current status of three supplemental water supply projects: Pismo Beach Regional Groundwater Sustainability Project: The City of Pismo Beach is currently preparing preliminary design and environmental impact evaluation for an advanced treatment upgrade to its existing Wastewater Treatment Plant (WWTP). The project also includes construction of a distribution system that will inject advanced purified water into the Santa Maria Groundwater Basin. This proposed project will allow the City and its regional partners to increase the recharge to the basin, improve water supply reliability and help prevent future occurrences of seawater intrusion. Pismo Beach is currently evaluating two potential locations for the advanced treatment facility: at the existing wastewater treatment plant; and at an offsite location, closer to the South San Luis Obispo County Sanitation District (SSLOCSD) WWTP. The advanced treatment facility is currently scheduled to be completed in 2019. SSLOCSD Recycled Water Facilities Planning Study: SSLOCSD and the City of Arroyo Grande are currently partnering on a Recycled Water Facilities Planning Study (RWFPS) to evaluate potential opportunities to upgrade SSLOCSD’s wastewater treatment process to provide water for agriculture irrigation or groundwater recharge. The RWFPS will evaluate construction of upgrades at its existing WWTP or developing an offsite advanced treatment facility, co-located with the previously mentioned City of Pismo Beach project. According to the Regional Recycled Water Study (Cannon 2014), a combined advanced treatment facility could possibly provide 2,400 AFY of advanced purified water to recharge the groundwater basin. Item 11.a. - Page 9 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 10 Diablo Desalination: The County of San Luis Obispo is currently working with PG&E and the Zone 3 member agencies to evaluate the feasibility of utilizing the existing desalination infrastructure at the Diablo Canyon power plant to produce additional water that could be delivered to the Lopez pipeline. The initial evaluation indicated that it is feasible to construct a pipeline from the desalination facility to the Lopez pipeline and deliver either 500 or 1,300 AFY of water to the Zone 3 member agencies. The current estimated timeline for the Diablo Desalination project is to complete the environmental and permitting process by January 2018 and to move into construction following that. Project costs for these potential supplemental supply projects will be shared by the regional partners who agree to participate and the costs divided proportionally in a manner yet to be determined. In the near future, at key decision making points, staff will bring back project updates for the three projects listed above for further Council review and approval, including any financial commitments. Following are preliminary cost estimates for the Pismo Beach Regional Groundwater Sustainability project and the Diablo Desalination project. Both cost estimates are based on initial design studies and will change based on further plan development. Project Estimated Capital Cost Projected Yield (AFY) Approximate Unit Cost ($/AF) Pismo Beach Regional Groundwater Sustainability Project ~$30M ~700 AFY $2,120 - $2,790 Diablo Desalinization ~$30M ~1300 AFY $2,800 – $3,300 Lopez Reservoir (current) NA NA $1,500 The projects listed above will require several years of development, design, environmental review and arrangement for financing. Short-term water purchase arrangements Short term options may include the purchase of temporary water supplies from other local water purveyors. Water purveyors in San Luis Obispo County who have excess water supplies may be willing to sell water to the City. For example, the City purchased water from the Oceano Community Services District as recently as two years ago. Similar short-term purchases may be negotiated in the future as the need arises. Neighboring agencies currently have excess water supplies as shown in Attachment 3. City staff will be meeting soon with representatives of all of the municipal water purveyors in San Luis Obispo County to begin discussions about the potential Item 11.a. - Page 10 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 11 mechanics and necessary advanced arrangements should the drought continue and some agencies begin to encounter water supply shortfalls. One additional supplemental water supply currently being discussed as an option is the use of available State Water. Due to the nature of the rainfall patterns this past winter, some of the larger reservoirs on the State Water system in Northern California have filled. In fact, some water in Northern California reservoirs is being released to make room for snow melt. This increased water supply has caused the State to increase its allocation to State Water contractors. The percentage of State Water distribution for 2016 has recently been increased to 60% of the contracted amount, compared to a 20% distribution in 2015. The County water managers are looking at options to increase use of State Water in the County and to preserve local water supplies. Due to limited conveyance capacity of the State Water pipeline into San Luis Obispo County and the existence of intricate agreements for State Water use, arriving at an agreed-upon water costs for the extra water, will be challenging. Additionally, as the result of the 1990 voter approved Measure A, the City of Arroyo Grande is currently prevented from purchasing State Water unless a ballot measure is approved by a majority of the Arroyo Grande voters. Later in this report, options for the potential use of State Water for temporary supply purposes by the City will be discussed. It is recommended that the City continue as previously directed by Council, with the three potential regional supplemental water projects: the Pismo Beach Regional Groundwater Project, the SSLOCSD Recycled Water Facilities Planning Study, and the Diablo Desalination Project. Periodic updates on the status of these three crucial water supply projects will be brought to Council for consideration at key decision-making points. Additionally, it is projected that the City’s water supply is sufficient for the next two (2) calendar years and temporary supplemental supply is not needed at this time; however, potential arrangements for temporary water supplies from other water purveyors are being explored in case the need arises. B. WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS Due to recurring drought cycles, the City’s goal has consistently been to maintain a sustaining conservation ethic resulting in the same level of water consumption after the drought is over. In order to do this, the City implemented several water conservation programs that provide relatively permanent water use reductions. The tables on the following page summarize the success of these programs. Item 11.a. - Page 11 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 12 Table 5. Cash for Grass Rebate Program Summary Calendar Year # Applications Submitted # Grass Conversions Completed Square Footage of Grass Removed Estimated Gallons of Water Saved per Year 2009 94 65 81,238 1,462,284 2010 24 22 21,131 380,358 2011 23 21 30,333 545,994 2012 17 13 14,348 258,264 2013 14 10 15,472 278,496 2014 137 92 119,099 2,143,782 2015 306 219 302,083 5,437,494 2016 Applications not accepted in 2016 Total: 615 442 583,704 (13.4 acres) 10,506,672 (32.2 AFY) Table 6. Water Efficient Washing Machine Rebate Program Summary Year # Rebates Issued *Estimated Gallons of Water Saved per Year 2009 36 108,000 2010 20 60,000 2011 22 66,000 2012 15 45,000 2013 2 6,000 2014 17 51,000 2015 70 210,000 Total: 182 546,000 (1.68 AFY) *Based on an average savings of 10 gallons/load from older washers, and an estimated 300 loads per household per year (average of 3,000 gallons per year per machine). Item 11.a. - Page 12 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 13 Table 7. Smart Irrigation Controller and Sensor Program Summary Year # Smart Irrigation Controllers Installed Estimated Water Savings 2009 32 The standard water savings is 15%. The number of gallons saved depends on individual irrigation design and area. 2010 13 2011 5 2012 7 2013 2 2014 20 2015 33 Total: 112 As can be seen in the tables above, participation in the City’s water conservation rebate programs was well-received in 2009 when they were first implemented. Advertisement for these programs was strong during this time, but then tapered off for the next several years. Participation increased dramatically when the City increased the rebate amounts for the Cash for Grass and Washing Machine Rebate Programs in 2014. Success can also be attributed to the increased awareness of the drought, an initial robust marketing effort, and water use restrictions and penalties for non compliance. As stated above, City funding for these incentive programs is almost exhausted. Note that the State has implemented turf removal and toilet replacement programs, and that new Plumbing Code regulations and landscape irrigation requirements will further result in permanent reductions in water usage. The energy efficiency and water standards approved today require water appliances to consume less water, thereby using less energy, while performing the same function. It should also be noted that since 2009, the City has contributed funding for large area irrigation retrofits for commercial, institutional and homeowner association (HOA) water users. W ith the contracting of Sprinkler King, Inc., the City has retrofitted the following properties: • Oak Park Blvd Landscaping • Vista del Mar HOA • Woodland Pocket Park • Wildwood Ranch HOA • Strother Park • Five Cities Center • St. Patrick’s School • Kmart Center • Sunrise Terrace Mobilehome Park • Cemetery District • Paulding School • Rancho Grande Park • Ocean View Elementary Item 11.a. - Page 13 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 14 It is estimated that 17.39 AFY is saved from the Strother Park, Paulding School, Ocean View School, Cemetery District and Rancho Grande Park irrigation retrofits (audits for determining post-project water savings have not been completed for the other properties). The City-owned Property Landscape Irrigation Retrofit Program has provided a comprehensive effort to reduce water use at City parks and other landscaped areas. This program involves removing turf combined with retrofitting irrigation systems and installing drought tolerant plants. It is estimated that this program generates a water savings of approximately 14 AFY. Regarding the City’s water conservation education program, it is important to clarify that the purpose of the public education program is to help meet water conservation goals to address the City's long-term future projected water demand. It is not simply designed to educate the public about the immediate need to conserve water due to the drought. Although the City currently does not retain a marketing firm to promote the water conservation campaign, staff from Pismo Beach and Arroyo Grande have been maintaining the ThinkH2O website and the Twitter account, although at a minimum level. Additional City public education programs included a South County Water Symposium at the Regional Center on August 13, 2015, educational booths at various local events, water conservation school education program for grades K-6 through Science Discovery, and participation in a regional collaborative effort to maintain the GardenSoft website. Staff recommends that the City maintain the following water conservation programs: Plumbing Retrofit, City Landscape Irrigation, School Education, and GardenSoft Website licensing. Due to an anticipated reduction in available funding, all other previously-funded water conservation programs are not recommended for funding in FY 16-17, as shown in the table below. Program FY 2015-16 Budget Balance Remaining Proposed FY 2016-17 Budget Turf Removal Program $ 321,000 $ 15,295 $ 0 Washing Machine Rebates 8,000 - 0 Smart Irrigation Controller Program 2,000 1,391 0 Landscape Irrigation Retrofit 1,000 1,000 0 Plumbing Retrofit Program 78,550 25,238 40,000 Irrigation Contract 15,000 - - City Landscape Irrigation 35,000 - 19,000 Public Education Campaign 31,750 9,706 0 School Education Program 5,500 5,500 5,500 Item 11.a. - Page 14 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 15 Water Conservation Workshops 3,000 2,215 0 GardenSoft Website License 500 - 500 Total: $ 501,300 $ 60,345 $ 65,000 C. BASELINE ADJUSTMENT STATISTICS As shown in Table 8 below, the City has completed a total of 853 baseline adjustment requests and issued 3,565 penalties. The City also held 8 water school classes since December with a total of 135 residents participating. Table 8. Summary of Baseline Adjustments Jul/Aug Sep/Oct Nov/Dec Jan/Feb Mar/Apr Total # of Billed Accounts NA 6,129 6,121 6,046 6,015 6,078 # of Baseline Adjustment Processed 145 128 177 206 197 853 # of Water Appeals Board Reviews - - 18 21 12 51 # of City Manager Appeals - - - - 2 2 # of Warning Notices Issued - 1,185 738 217 162 2,302 # of $50 Penalties Issued - - 604 196 147 947 # of $100 Penalties Issued - - - 166 89 255 # of $200 Penalties Issued - - - - 61 61 Total: - 1,185 1,342 579 459 3,565 # of Water School Attendees - - 49 62 24 135 Response to customer requests for baseline adjustments have required a significant staff time commitment; however it has been an effective tool at responding to changed Item 11.a. - Page 15 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 16 conditions on properties that warrant an increased baseline. No changes are requested or recommended to the baseline adjustment process at this time. D. MANDATORY WATER USE RESTRICTION ORDINANCE OPTIONS AND ALTERNATIVES On May 26, 2015, the City Council adopted a Resolution declaring a Stage 1 Water Shortage Emergency and implemented emergency water shortage restrictions and regulations in accordance with California Water Code Section 350 and Arroyo Grande Municipal Code Section 13.07.030; adopted an Urgency Ordinance amending Section 13.07.090 of the Arroyo Grande Municipal Code relating to Penalties and Enforcement for Violations of Emergency Water Shortage Restrictions and Regulations; approved the expansion of the City’s Turf Removal Rebate program to include Commercial properties not currently served by an irrigation meter; and appropriated $30,000 from the Water Fund for the hiring of temporary employees and other costs associated with implementation of the water use restrictions. These Council-approved actions were intended in large part to reduce water demand below the Governor’s Executive Order for Arroyo Grande to reduce water consumption by 28%. The Council’s measures have achieved water use savings beyond the 28%, and additional water use restrictions are not recommended at this time. The Council may, however, wish to direct staff to implement additional measures to further reduce customer water consumption in order to extend the City’s water supplies. Following are two potential areas in which the City Council may provide direction to staff to implement further water use restriction measures. Commercial Customer Water Restriction options There has been some concern expressed by members in the community that commercial/non-residential customers have not contributed to the City’s water conservation efforts. Non-residential customers, which includes commercial, institutional, and City buildings, represent just 15% of the total water use by Arroyo Grande water customers as shown in the following chart: Item 11.a. - Page 16 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 17 Additionally, non-residential customers have contributed to the City’s overall water conservation effort by saving 22% of water use when compared to the baseline year of 2014 as shown in the chart and the graph below. Item 11.a. - Page 17 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 18 Commercial properties were previously excluded from the mandatory water use reduction requirements in Stage 1, in part because residents were encouraged to use businesses that have water conserving technologies and practices such as car washes that reuse water. Additionally, the unpredictable nature of such businesses as hotels and restaurants would make it difficult to manage water use. These businesses also contribute to the economic vitality of the City and reductions in business would potentially have a negative financial impact on the City. Due to these factors, and also because the vast majority of water use is from residential customers, the City’s water use restrictions were primarily targeted at residential customers. (Note: Dedicated irrigation meters were required to reduce water use by 25%. Many commercial properties have dedicated irrigation meters.) It is recognized however that a small number of commercial customers still do not have low-flow indoor plumbing fixtures. Some additional water savings may be generated by mandating that commercial properties participate in the City funded Plumbing Retrofit program to convert to low-flow plumbing fixtures. AGMC Stage 1 Water Shortage Emergency resolution Section 13.07.060 provides the following language allowing for a directive to such commercial properties, “intended to preclude excessive water usage:” “13.07.060 Additional Requirements and Restrictions during Stage 1 or Stage 2 Water Shortage Emergency. Upon adoption of a resolution declaring a Stage 1 or Stage 2 Water Shortage Emergency the following shall apply: 1. Commercial, industrial or irrigation meter customers shall immediately follow any directive issued or declared by the City's Water Department to conduct water use audits, prepare water conservation plans and immediately repair any identified water system leaks, including leaks attributable to faulty pipes or fixtures. Commercial customers shall not violate any other water use restrictions intended to preclude excessive water usage, as adopted by the City.” It is proposed that the foregoing provision be used to require commercial users who have not already participated in the City’s mandatory plumbing retrofit program be required to do so. Approximately 90% of the commercial customers have already participated in the retrofit program. It is recommended that notification be provided to all commercial properties, through the process of issuing a “directive” in accordance with Section 13.07.060(1), requiring that those commercial customers conduct a “water use audit”. Thereafter, they would be required to prepare a water conservation plan that would include participation in the plumbing retrofit program if they had not already done so, with a specific deadline for conversion, in addition to addressing any other issues Item 11.a. - Page 18 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 19 disclosed by the water use audit. Commercial properties that need to convert to low- flow toilets can be directed to the City’s Plumbing Retrofit project which covers the cost of the conversion. Building Restriction Options Building restrictions for new development remains an option to reduce water demand. This tool was implemented in 2009 on development applications requiring new water meters precipitated by a serious water supply condition as well as concern regarding water quality samples that indicated constituents consistent with incipit of seawater intrusion. Moratoriums related to water shortages may be implemented in a variety of ways. Restrictions could be placed on the acceptance of new planning applications, new building permit applications, and/or water connections (that entail the installation or upgrade of a water meter). As described above, current projected supply meets anticipated demand for the next two water years. However, given continued drought conditions, building restrictions may still be prudent when anticipated drought supply does not meet anticipated build-out demand. As described above, the City’s water supply is 3,813 acre feet and projected demand is at 2,300AF, or 59% of the City’s entitlement supply. Lopez supply is reduced by 10% currently under the LRRP and projected to be reduced by 20% in future months. Groundwater levels in the Santa Maria Groundwater Basin (SMGWB) are above the established index level of 7.5. feet. However, pumping will conservatively remain reduced given recent conditions below 7.5 feet. Based upon projected Lopez reduction of 20% (1,830 AF), and total groundwater supplies based on conservative pumping regime of the SMGWB groundwater basin of approximately 1,000 AF, the City’s reduced supply would be approximately 2,830 AF. Current projections indicate that build-out demand is between 2,800 and 2,900 AF, given current demand, permanent water conservation reductions and expected per capita increases in post drought conditions. A significant factor not calculated into supply numbers includes 936 acre-feet of carryover water. Given these conditions, building restrictions are not recommended at this time; however, continued close monitoring and two-year water supply projections will be prepared for Council consideration annually. Additionally, the City’s Urban Water Management Plan is currently being prepared and will be brought forward to Council next month, which will provide more detailed information on the City’s water demand and supply balance during consecutive drought years. Item 11.a. - Page 19 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 20 Looking forward, it is recommended that the City consider enacting building restrictions under the following conditions unless other supply is identified: 1) Declaration of a Stage 2 water supply condition per the City’s existing ordinance (this could occur based upon a threat to a local water supply, water delivery system, State mandated reductions, or a combination): 2) Reduction of Lopez supply of 35%: 3) The SMGWB continually falls below the deep well index trigger level of 7.5 feet in conjunction with Lopez supply reduction of 20% or indications of sea water intrusion are detected. As previously reported, recent updates to the General Plan Housing and Economic Development Elements prioritize continued modest infill development to meet housing needs and achieve economic sustainability. Both priorities would be seriously jeopardized by the implementation of a moratorium as impacts would include a housing shortfall and a further risk to the City's image as a reliable place to invest and do business. Halting improvements to buildings and properties within the City also diminishes the community's ability to economically develop and re-purpose existing vacant tenant spaces. Although there are many variables depending upon how a moratorium is enacted, it could seriously jeopardize economic development opportunities within the City. E. OPTIONS FOR POTENTIAL USE OF STATE WATER At the November 6, 1990 General Municipal Election, the voters of Arroyo Grande approved Measure “A”, as stated in the text of the measure below, which stipulates that an affirmative vote of the voters of Arroyo Grande is required before the City of Arroyo Grande is authorized to participate in the California State Water Project. Measure “A” “Shall an affirmative vote of the voters of Arroyo Grande be required before the City of Arroyo Grande is authorized to participate in the California State Water Project?” Furthermore, the full text of Measure A states that the City of Arroyo Grande shall not participate, in any way, including but not limited to, the expenditure or commitment of any funds, in the California State Water project without and an affirmative vote of a majority of the voters voting on such a measure. The full text of Measure “A” is shown on the following page: Item 11.a. - Page 20 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 21 Full Text of Measure “A” The People of the City of Arroyo Grande do hereby ordain as follows: Section #1. The City of Arroyo Grande shall not participate, in any way, including but not limited to, the expenditure or commitment of any funds, in the California State Water Project without an affirmative vote of the majority of the voters voting upon such a measure. Section #2. This ordinance shall not be amended nor repealed without a vote of the voters of Arroyo Grande. City Council Resolution No. 2383 placing Measure A on the ballot and Resolution No. 2432 accepting the results of the ballot measure are included as Attachments 4 and 5 respectively. Due to wet winter conditions in Northern California, several of the largest State Reservoirs have filled significantly improving the State water supply. As a result, the State of California has increased the allocation to State Water Contractors to 60% of their full allocations. The County of San Luis Obispo has a State Water allocation of 25,000 AFY, substantially beyond the State water contracts within the County as listed below: SLO County State Water Entitlement: (in Central Valley Aqueduct) 25,000 ac-ft SLO County Capacity in Coastal Branch of State Water Project: 4,750 ac-ft Northern Cities Entitlements to State Water: Pismo Beach - 1,240 ac-ft Oceano CSD- 750 ac-ft County water managers are currently working on an effort to bring some of the County’s excess State Water allocation into the County and to conserve our local water resources. Challenges to the use of this available water supply are significant, including but not limited to: purchase and conveyance costs, contractual limitations and the carrying capacity of the existing coastal branch of State W ater pipeline that also serves Santa Barbara County. Despite the challenges, given the diminishing local water supplies, this opportunity is being given serious consideration by the County. Even if the hurdles to the importation of this potential water supply can be addressed, the City would not be able to use this water due to the passage of the voter approved Measure A in 1990. Item 11.a. - Page 21 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF UPDATE AND COUNCIL DIRECTION ON THE CITY’S WATER SUPPLY STATUS, WATER USE RESTRICTIONS AND WATER CONSERVATION INCENTIVE PROGRAMS MAY 10, 2016 PAGE 22 It is recommended that the Council direct staff to continue exploring the requirements for allowing the City to purchase and use State Water, which would include the preparation of a future ballot measure for voter consideration. Such a ballot measure would require substantial staff time to develop cost estimates as well as language and arguments in favor of the ballot measure. Given the fact that supplemental water supply needs are not projected in the next two years and due to the short time frame before measures are due, it is not recommended to place this measure on the November 2016 ballot. ALTERNATIVES: The following alternatives are provided for the Council’s consideration: 1. Receive and file the status report and take no action at this time; 2. Increase funding for water conservation incentive programs; 3. Suspend all water conservation programs since the City has already achieved its goal as mandated by the State’s 20 by 2020 Water Conservation Plan and is meeting the 28% State reduction target. 4. Require mandatory plumbing retrofit for commercial properties at a date certain; 5. Pursue a permanent supplemental supply of water through the State Water project; 6. Direct staff to return to the City Council with options to implement a water restriction moratorium for new development tied to stages of water availability; or 7. Provide other direction to staff. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW: No environmental review is required for this item. PUBLIC NOTIFICATION AND COMMENTS: The Agenda was posted in front of City Hall on Thursday, May 5, 2016. The Agenda and staff report were posted on the City’s website on Friday, May 6, 2016. No public comments were received. ATTACHMENTS: 1. Lopez Reservoir Storage Projection 2. Lopez Water Supplies under the LRRP for 2016/2017 3. LRRP Water Accounts – Water Year 16-17 4. Resolution No. 2383- State Water 5. Resolution No. 2432- State Water Item 11.a. - Page 22 ATTACHMENT 1 Item 11.a. - Page 23 ATTACHMENT 2 Item 11.a. - Page 24 ATTACHMENT 3 Item 11.a. - Page 25 ATTACHMENT 4 Item 11.a. - Page 26 Item 11.a. - Page 27 Item 11.a. - Page 28 ATTACHMENT 5 Item 11.a. - Page 29 Item 11.a. - Page 30 Item 11.a. - Page 31 Item 11.a. - Page 32 Item 11.a. - Page 33 Item 11.a. - Page 34 Item 11.a. - Page 35 Item 11.a. - Page 36 Item 11.a. - Page 37 THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Item 11.a. - Page 38