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CC 2016-02-23_11a Brisco Road Ramps Temp Closure UpdateMEMORANDUM TO: CITY COUNCIL FROM: TERESA MCCLISH, DIRECTOR OF COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT BY: MATT HORN, CITY ENGINEER SUBJECT: CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF- RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE DATE: FEBRUARY 23, 2016 RECOMMENDATION: It is recommended the City Council: 1) Receive and file an update on the Test Closure Traffic Study Results for the Brisco Road at US 101 Northbound on and off-ramp closure; and 2) Direct staff to research the feasibility of an extended closure beyond the 6-month time frame and through construction. IMPACT ON FINANCIAL AND PERSONNEL RESOURCES: As of February 16, 2016, the project budget has an unencumbered balance of $1,402,305. Phase Budget Total Expended & Committed Balance Remaining Study $ 100,000 $ 76,211 $ 23,790 Design $ 303,900 $ 265,785 $ 38,115 Contract Administration $ - $ - $ - Construction $ 1,340,400 $ - $ 1,340,400 Total $ 1,402,305 Test closure cost to date as follows: Item Estimated To Date Permitting $ 15,000 $ 10,000 Analysis $ 40,000 $ 52,000 Closure $ 45,000 $ 14,211 Total $ 100,000 $ 76,211 Item 11.a. - Page 1 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF-RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE FEBRUARY 23, 2016 PAGE 2 BACKGROUND: The Brisco Road-Halcyon Road/U.S. 101 Interchange project has been underway since the late 1990s. Currently the project is in the Project Approval and Environmental Determination (PAED) phase with three project alternatives under review: Alternative 1, Alternative 4C Roundabout (RAB), and no-build. Alternative 1 includes the following improvements: • Closes the northbound on and off-ramps at Brisco Road and US 101 • Completes intersection improvements Camino Mercado and US 101 • Completes intersection improvements at Grand Ave and US 101 • Completes bridge widening on Grand Ave Alternative 4C RAB includes the following improvements: • Relocates the northbound ramps at Brisco to West Branch Street at Rodeo Drive • Completes intersection improvements at Grace Lane and Rodeo Drive • Complete intersection improvements at Grand Ave and US 101 On June 23, 2015, City Council directed staff to pursue a test closure of the US 101 northbound on and off-ramps at Brisco Road. The purpose of the closure and study was to simulate the built condition of Alternative 1, the lowest cost build alternative, in order to verify the proposed improvements would address shifting traffic patterns. The timeline of activities related to the ramp closure is as follows: Date Activity • September 8, 2015 City Council Approved Closure Plan. Closure beginning on September 21 and ending on November 30, 2015. • September 29, 2015 US 101 northbound on and off-ramps at Brisco Road closed. • October 27, 2015 City Council extends closure termination date from December 7, 2015 to January 11, 2016. • December 17, 2015 City Council revised the test ramp termination date until July 11, 2016 to allow additional time for presentation of the ramp closure study data and discussion by the community. Traffic Counts Traffic counts were obtained prior to the closure of the US 101 northbound on and off- ramps at Brisco Road. The locations of traffic counts were the anticipated location of changing traffic patterns. Below is a display that shows the general location of the traffic counts. Item 11.a. - Page 2 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF-RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE FEBRUARY 23, 2016 PAGE 3 Pre-closure traffic counts were obtained starting on September 17 and ending on September 24, 2015. On September 29, 2015 the ramps were closed and the traffic was given time to normalize. Post ramp closure counts were obtained starting on November 15 and ending on November 21, 2015. Supplemental counts were required due to rain-fouled or damaged counter tubes for certain segments. Those supplemental counts were obtained from December 9 through December 15, 2015. ANALYSIS OF ISSUES: Volume of Traffic By closing the US 101 northbound on and off-ramps at Brisco Road, those vehicles that used these ramps are assumed to use other on and off-ramps in the general vicinity. Table 1 below shows ramp volume for the morning, mid-day, and evening peak travel time before the ramp closure as well as during. These volumes only account for vehicles getting on or off of US 101. Item 11.a. - Page 3 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF-RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE FEBRUARY 23, 2016 PAGE 4 TABLE 1 NORTHBOUND US 101 RAMP VOLUME COMPARISONS Camino Mercado at US 101 showed the largest increase in traffic volumes. Less vehicle trips were counted in the study area during the closure than prior to the closure. This change was most apparent in mid-day. Explanations for these reduced volumes include: • Seasonal traffic changes • More Nipomo based commuters using Willow Road Interchange • Commuters adjacent to US 1, using US 1 to Pismo Beach and finally to US 101 • Reduced need to travel to Five Cities Center, possibly due at least in part to, elimination of grocery store • Reduced local traffic getting onto and immediately off of US 101 as a quicker alternative to using local roads In addition to US 101 on and off ramp traffic counts, intersection traffic counts were also completed. Table 2 shows a comparison of the volume of traffic prior to and during the closure. AM Peak Hour Mid-Day Peak PM Peak Hour Diff.Diff.Diff. Northbound Ramp Location Ramp Volume Ramp Volume Ramp Volume Ramp Volume Ramp Volume Ramp Volume Oak Park Blvd On-Ramp 615713985185664846554580 Camino Mercado On-Ramp 109305196182350168218340122 Camino Mercado Off Ramp 339457118392397 5 295440145 Brisco Rd On-Ramp 466 0 -466278 0 -278310 0 -310 Brisco Rd Off-Ramp 293 0 -293272 0 -272288 0 -288 E Grand Ave On-Ramp 627620 -7 5375662949458692 E Grand Ave Off-Ramp 2703649424325310237344107 Traffic Way Off-Ramp 370390202202503037038010 Total ramp volumes 30892849-24026422382-26026772635 -42 Total On-Ramp -179 -33 -16 Total Off-Ramp -61 -227 -26 ClosureExistingClosureExistingClosureExisting Item 11.a. - Page 4 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF-RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE FEBRUARY 23, 2016 PAGE 5 TABLE 2 INTERSECTION VOLUME COMPARISON The largest total intersection traffic increases were seen at: • 3 - West Branch Street / US 101 / Camino Mercado • 4 - West Branch Street and Town Center Drive - through movement to and from Camino Mercado / US 101 • 11 - US 101 Northbound Ramps at Grand Ave. The largest decrease in traffic occurred at El Camino Real at Brisco Road. Level of Service While peak traffic volumes may have increased in some intersections, the capacity of those intersections must be calculated individually. Some intersections may have sufficient capacity to support a large increased demand and operate at an acceptable Level of Service (LOS) while some intersections may see a modest increase in demand and operate at an unacceptable Level of Service. VolumeVolume VolumeVolume VolumeVolume 1 El Camino Real & Oak Park Blvd1,956 2095139251726281112826286236 2 W Branch/NB Ramp & Oak Park Blvd2,195 2368173267228371652832286331 3 W Branch St/US 101 NB 925 12263011455168923415111712201 4 W Branch & Town Center Dr 472 72124992511842591063114481 5 W Branch St & Rancho Parkway651 88223114041502981414147258 6 El Camino Real & Brisco Rd 1,479 1247-23216821582-10017031557-146 7 W Branch St & Brisco Rd 912 103612414551514591366138721 8 US 101 NB Ramps & Brisco Rd1,261 N/A 1413 N/A 1430 N/A 9 W Branch St & Rodeo Dr 615 597 -18 73079666574542 -32 10 US 101 SB Ramps & E Grand Ave1,835 19127720422079371923197249 11 US 101 NB Ramps & E Grand Ave1,812 2147335222022644419982136138 12 E Grand Ave & W Branch St 1,899 1856 -43 22232162 -61 1931195120 13 Traffic Way/Wesley St/W Branch St 1,990 1884-10622882206 -82 20312011 -20 #Intersection AM Peak Hour MID Peak Hour PM Peak Hour ExistingExisting Closure Volume Change Existing Closure Volume Change Closure Volume Change Item 11.a. - Page 5 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF-RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE FEBRUARY 23, 2016 PAGE 6 TABLE 3 INTERSECTION CAPACITY BEFORE AND DURING CLOSURE Before Closure During Closure No. Intersection Ta r g e t L O S AM Mi d -Da y PM AM Mi d -Da y PM Im p a c t ? 1 El Camino Real & Oak Park Blvd C B C C B C C No 2 West Branch St/101 NB Ramp & Oak Park Blvd D B B B B B B No 3 West Branch St & 101 NB Ramps/Camino Mercado D B C B C C D Yes 4 West Branch St & Town Center Drive C A A A A A A No 5 West Branch St & Rancho Parkway C A A B A B B No 6 El Camino Real & Brisco Rd C D D D D D D No 7 West Branch Street & Brisco Rd C B B B B B B No 8 101 NB Ramps & Brisco Rd D C C C - - - No 9 West Branch Street & Rodeo Drive C B B B B B B No 10 101 SB & East Grand Ave D B B B B C B No 11 101 NB & East Grand Ave D C B B C B C No 12 East Grand Ave & West Branch St C F F F F F F Yes 13 Traffic Way/Wesley St & West Branch St C C C C C C C No 14 Traffic Way & Fair Oaks Ave C D C D D C D No The following intersections are impacted by the closure, but not below LOS policy levels: • 5 - West Branch Street at Rancho Parkway • 10 - 101 Southbound at East Grand Avenue • 11 - 101 Northbound at East Grand Avenue Intersection number 3, West Branch Street at Camino Mercado, US 101 Northbound Ramps is impacted in the PM Peak with an additional 30.6 seconds of delay. Intersection 12, East Grand Avenue at West Branch Street, is impacted due to the closure with an additional 3 minutes of delay for drivers. All other intersections are operating an acceptable LOS. Item 11.a. - Page 6 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF-RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE FEBRUARY 23, 2016 PAGE 7 Forecasted Level of Service While the existing operation of each intersection is important, it is also important that these intersections operate well into the future. Modeling the improvements of Alternative 1, no build, and no build but maintaining the ramp closures at Brisco Road and US 101 forecasted into the year of 2035, the following results are achieved as shown in Table 4. TABLE 4 FORECASTED INTERSECTION CAPACITY No Build Alt 1. Build With Closure No. Intersection Ta r g e t L O S AM Mi d -Da y PM AM Mi d -Da y PM AM Mi d -Da y PM 1 El Camino Real & Oak Park Blvd C C C D C C C C C C 2 West Branch St/101 NB Ramp & Oak Park Blvd D B B C C C C C C C 3 West Branch St & 101 NB Ramps/Camino Mercado D C C C C C C D C D 4 West Branch St & Town Center Drive C A A A A A A A A A 5 West Branch St & Rancho Parkway C A B B A B B A B B 6 El Camino Real & Brisco Rd C D E F C C C D F E 7 West Branch Street & Brisco Rd C B B B B B B B B B 8 101 NB Ramps & Brisco Rd D C C D - - - - - - 9 West Branch Street & Rodeo Drive C B C B B C B B C B 10 101 SB & East Grand Ave D B B C B C B B C B 11 101 NB & East Grand Ave D C B B B B B D C C 12 East Grand Ave & West Branch St C F F F F F F F F F 13 Traffic Way/Wesley St & West Branch St C C D C C D D C D D 14 Traffic Way & Fair Oaks Ave C E D F E E F E E F The improvements associated with Alternate 1's construction eliminate the following intersections from performing below policy LOS: • 1- El Camino Real at Oak Park Boulevard • 6 - El Camino Real at Brisco Road Item 11.a. - Page 7 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF-RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE FEBRUARY 23, 2016 PAGE 8 Regardless of build or no build alternatives, the following intersections are forecasted to operate at a reduced LOS than policy objectives: • 12 - East Grand Avenue at West Branch Street • 13 - Traffic Way at West Branch Street • 14 - Traffic Way at Fair Oaks Avenue Feedback The City has established an email address for the users of the Brisco Road area to provide feedback: brisco@arroyogrande.org. Photo of Feedback Signage at Brisco Road / West Branch Street Additionally, the City has established a web page in order to provide information about the Brisco Interchange project and information on the Test Closure. The web page may found on the City website: http://www.arroyogrande.org/561/Temporary-Ramp-Closure-at-Brisco-Road To date, the City has received 257 contacts either by phone or email: • 187 or 72.8% of contacts have been positive towards the closure; • 43 or 16.7% of contacts have not been in favor of the closure; and • 27 or 10.5% of contacts have requested operational changes or recommended other project alternatives. Police and Fire Service input has been requested and received concerning the closure. Generally, emergency services support the closure of the Brisco on and off-ramps. Item 11.a. - Page 8 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF-RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE FEBRUARY 23, 2016 PAGE 9 Conclusion Based on available data, the closure of the US 101 at Brisco Road on and off-ramps is successful. Communications received indicate majority support for this change. The traffic counts, forecasted volumes, and anticipated improvements with Alternative 1 indicate that planned improvements in the work area will improve traffic flows for twenty plus years. Three identified intersection outside the work area of Alternative 1 perform below policy levels. Those intersections are as follows: 1. West Branch Street at Traffic Way 2. West Branch Street at East Grand Avenue 3. Traffic Way at Fair Oaks Avenue Staff recommends moving forward to complete the Project Approval and Environmental Document (PAED) phase of the project. If after the PAED phase is complete, it is recommended that other Level of Service improvements for the Brisco Interchange Project be considered by the Council, selected improvements may be included in a Supplement Project Report. Additionally, Staff also recommends continuing discussions with Caltrans regarding a further extension of the temporary closure beyond July 11, 2016. ALTERNATIVES: The following alternatives are provided for the Council’s consideration: • Receive and file report. • Provide direction to staff. Postive, 72.8% Negative, 16.7% Other, 10.5% Item 11.a. - Page 9 CITY COUNCIL CONSIDERATION OF TEST CLOSURE TRAFFIC STUDY RESULTS FOR THE BRISCO ROAD AT US 101 NORTHBOUND ON AND OFF-RAMPS AND CONSIDERATION OF FURTHER EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT RAMP CLOSURE FEBRUARY 23, 2016 PAGE 10 ADVANTAGES: The Test Closure Traffic Study results provide valuable data to assist the City in evaluating the project alternatives. DISADVANTAGES: None known at this time. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW: This project is subject to both the California Environmental Review Act (CEQA) and National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). The City is the lead agency for CEQA and an Initial Study Mitigated Negative Declaration has been prepared. Caltrans is the lead agency for NEPA and Caltrans and has determined the project’s environmental document should be a Environmental Assessment with Findings of No Significant Impact. PUBLIC NOTIFICATION AND COMMENTS: The Agenda was posted in front of City Hall on Thursday, February 18, 2016. The Agenda and staff report were posted on the City’s website on Friday, February 19, 2016. Email notifications were sent to all that provided comments to brisco@arroyogrande.org, and a Press Release was issued on Friday, February 19, 2016. A static construction sign was placed at the intersection of West Branch Street at Brisco Road. Attachments: 1. Technical Memo 2. brisco@arroyogrande.org email Item 11.a. - Page 10